This site was set up to allow public access and verification of the data that goes into my TikTok series, Who's Making News for Sex Crimes Involving Children . This study started in mid February, 2023, and, as the title indicates, aggregates and analyzes those who have been included in news reports about sexual assaults on children in the United States. You can download the full database by clicking the “Source Data” tab on the left.
Here is the data summary from the latest ... cases. The most recent case in the database is dated . This does not mean that all cases prior to that date are processed - we’re currently still processing some reports from late April. However, note: the reports don’t come in in chronological order - which is why we have some cases that are dated more recently.
Scroll down for the current visualizations and analysis.
The Series Goal: fact checking narratives about sex crimes against children." The site contains a set of data and statistical analysis of that data, nothing more. The data, like the facts, don’t care about anyone’s feelings, or politics.
The Data: I have collected and aggregated data starting in Mid February 2023 and running through May 16, 2024, the date on which the number of individuals in our database exceeded 10,000 cases, enough on which to base statistical and trend line observations. At this point I’ll work primarily on a major data cleanup review and make sure we have at least 10,000 valid and verified cases. Then we’ll work on detailed analysis, leading to a report.
I encourage you to fact check the data. Use the “Data” tab on the left to download the full database. The data collection started in mid-February 2023 and is limited to the United States only. The rules for inclusion in the database are simple: the cases we’re examining are limited to crimes involving actual sexual assaults on children. Therefore the data excludes arrests in “sting” or CSAM possession cases, except where the perpetrator is charged with creating the CSAM, and thus has had direct contact with a victim.
You can help make the data more complete by downloading the Source Data (tab on the upper left) and by submitting any additions, changes or corrections you find. The e-mail dedicated to this project is whoismakingnews@browdelaw.com.
Note: Unless you check the Include Not Listed
checkbox below,
the charts will exclude
...
cases
that do not have any employment or relationship included in the news reports.
More Detailed Breakdown
Per-Capita Crime Heatmap
This map shows the crimes involving children per state, per million population. The darker the color, the higher the per-capita crime rate.
What conclusions can you draw from the numbers to date?
A terrific data analyst, Emily Parker, who runs DataViz.fyi, has created a rich graphical analysis breaking down the data and drawing some vital comparisons. Click inside the analysis for more detailed explanations and per capita category comparisons that are eye opening to say the least. Note: There is a short lag between the time we enter data and the time it filters through to Emily’s analysis page - the lag only shows up in the minutes right after I finish adding to the database, and explains any possible discrepancy between the summary number above and the numbers within the analysis page.
Data footnote: with the assistance of other TikTok members, one, in particular, Celiene O’Hara, who has been super helpful, we’re engaged in data cleanup as well as updating on a daily basis. That means you should consider all the data a work in progress, and you may see numbers go down from time to time, as we find duplicate entries, typically caused when there’s either a minor spelling issue in reports or when there’s an update in a case and we miss the earlier entry. When we find those updated or duplicate entries they’re checked as “deleted” in the database, but you can still see the original data, with the deleted notation, if you download the full data file - which you can do by clicking on the “Data” tab on the left.
And if you want to look just at current trends, here’s a link to a visualization developed by Eric Graham, which opens in a new window https://erksome.shinyapps.io/WMN_Analysis/